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5 Metals Stocks to Buy to Buffer Inflation During an Economic Bounce

Five metals stocks to buy as a way to buffer inflation during an economic bounce are benefiting from rising prices for metals such as gold and steel. The five metals stocks to buy are climbing after record-setting prices worldwide for copper, iron ore,…

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Five metals stocks to buy as a way to buffer inflation during an economic bounce are benefiting from rising prices for metals such as gold and steel.

The five metals stocks to buy are climbing after record-setting prices worldwide for copper, iron ore, steel and aluminum, according to BoA Global Research. Those prices have jumped more than 20% above their average for the past 10 years, the investment firm stated in a recent research report.

The annual inflation rate in the United States soared to 4.2% for the 12 months ended April 2021, rising from 2.6% for the 12-month rate in March and 1.7% in February, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The 4.2 percent increase reported in April marks the largest jump for a 12-month period since a 4.9-percent spike for the 12 months ended September 2008, the agency reported.

The trend should continue since is likely that growing inflationary pressure may not ease “imminently,” BoA reported in its May 25 research note. Management at some of the metals companies have reported that they plan to protect their margins by raising prices, if needed.

Gold Offers Most Reliable Inflation Hedge in Assessing 5 Metals stocks to Buy, Pension Leader Says

Gold offers the “most reliable inflation hedge” among the various metals, said Bob Carlson, chairman of the Board of Trustees of Virginia’s Fairfax County Employees’ Retirement System with more than $4 billion in assets. Carlson, who also leads the Retirement Watch investment newsletter, counseled that he recommends having a base inflation-hedge in gold through exchange-traded funds (ETFs), such as iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:IAU). 

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

“An investment in a metals and mining company often will result in more than an investment in a metal, Carlson continued. The companies usually have some debt that can be used as leverage to lift returns, he added.

Once the price of the metal is high enough to pay the company’s fixed costs, any further price increases enhance margins for the organization and thereby boost its bottom line.

Pension fund and Retirement Watch leader Bob Carlson answers questions from Paul Dykewicz prior to COVID-19-related social distancing.

5 Metals Investments to Buy Include Diversified Sector Funds

“Investors who want to seek these leveraged gains should invest in a diversified mutual fund or ETF,” Carlson said. “Those who want an inflation hedge should choose a fund focused on gold mining companies. A good choice is iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners (RING).”

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

For investors who want a broader portfolio that will benefit from both inflation and global growth, consider iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers (PICK), Carlson counseled.

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

5 Metals Investments to Buy Include BHP Group Ltd.

“If you’re worried about inflation draining value from the money you have, commodities are one of the best places to seek shelter,” said Hilary Kramer, who heads the GameChangers and Value Authority advisory services. “And if you have a feeling the building boom is only going to accelerate once Congress decides on an infrastructure package, there’s even a good chance of making long-term money on the mining stocks. In that scenario, I prefer base metals because they are consumed in industry and construction… forcing the miners to keep digging in order to satisfy demand.”

Kramer, who also hosts the nationally aired “Millionaire Maker” radio program, said one of her favorite metals stocks is BHP Group Ltd. (NYSE:BHP), the biggest miner on the planet across many metrics. The odds are good that BHP Group is a major supplier of virtually any metal one may want, she added.

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

“As a bonus, I worked on the initial investment banking here years ago, so I’m sentimental,” Kramer continued. “The 4.2% dividend yield at least matches current inflation, which is more than Treasury bonds can say, and any upside on the stock over time will be a nice bonus.”

Paul Dykewicz conducts a pre-COVID-19 interview with Hilary Kramer, whose premium advisory services include IPO Edge, 2-Day Trader, Turbo Trader and Inner Circle.

BHP Group’s share price has climbed 19.9% in the past 52 weeks and 64.6% thus far in 2021. Value-conscious investors may be interested that BHP Group’s price-to-earnings ratio of 27.8 is more economical than the S&P 500 Index’s 36.5.

Nucor Joins 5 Metals Stocks to Buy

One metals stock that has been on a huge run in the past year with no signs of stalling is Nucor Corp. (NYSE:NUE), a Charlotte, North Carolina based producer of steel and related metals.

“Superman might be the man of steel, but he’s got nothing on a tremendous company that actually forges the steel used to build the world, Nucor Corp.,” said Jim Woods, who leads the Successful Investing and Intelligence Report investment newsletters, as well as the Bullseye Stock Trader advisory service. Woods, who also co-edits the Fast Money Alert trading service with economist Mark Skousen, PhD, chose Nucor as his entrant in the five metals stocks to buy.

Columnist Paul Dykewicz meets with Jim Woods to discuss stocks to buy.

Nucor not only manufactures and sells steel and steel products, the company also is involved in all aspects of the steel business, including hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet steel products, plate steel products, wide-flange beams, beam blanks and H-piling and sheet piling products. Woods continued.

“You get the picture,” Woods said. “If it’s steel, then Nucor does it.”

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

P/E Ratios of 5 Metals Stocks to Buy Are Modest Compared to S&P 500

Strong demand due to the economic reopening, the anticipated flood of money into infrastructure and rising steel prices have combined to help Nucor deliver earnings growth of 213% year over year in its latest quarter, Woods explained. Aided by strong earnings growth of the past several years, Nucor has vaulted into the top 9% of all companies in terms of increased earnings, he added.

Any doubters should consider that Nucor’s share price has zoomed 164.6% in the past 52 weeks and 109.0% so far in 2021. Investors who are worried that Nucor has soared too far, too fast should note that the stock has a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5, compared to 36.5 for the S&P 500 Index.

Source: Stock Rover. Click here to sign up for a free, two-week trial for Stock Rover charts and analytics.

Reliance Steel Snags Slot With 5 Metals Stocks to Buy

Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE:RS), a Los Angeles-based metal solutions provider and the largest metals service center company in North America, operates a network of about 300 locations in 40 states and 13 countries outside of America. The company offers value-added metals processing services and distributes a full line of more than 100,000 metal products to 125,000-plus customers in a wide range of industries.

Reliance has found a niche in fulfilling small orders with quick turnaround and increasing levels of value-added processing. In 2020, Reliance’s average order size measured $1,910, approximately 49% of its orders included value-added processing and about 40% of those orders were delivered within 24 hours.

Reliance Steel’s stock price has jumped 78.7% in the past 52 weeks and 45.1% thus far in 2021. Value-oriented investors may be interested that the company’s price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 is roughly half that of the S&P 500 Index’s 36.5.

Reliance Steel’s Spot With 5 Metals Stocks to Buy Aided by Cash Flow

BoA gave Reliance Steel a price target of $185 per and praised its cash return to shareholders, as well as support for the share price through buybacks. Plus, the company has a track record of free cash flow generation.

BoA wrote that its price target for the company could be affected negatively by a delayed economic recovery, execution risk due to its acquisition strategy and any sharp corrections in prices. Potential catalysts for the stock, BoA noted, are: 1) aggressive buybacks or dividend increases, 2) higher metal prices and 3) more attractive consolidation opportunities than currently modeled. Additional upside could come from mergers and acquisitions (M&As), as well as stronger pricing and demand than currently forecast.

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Steel Dynamics Strides Among 5 Metals Stocks to Buy

Fort Wayne, Indiana-based Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ/GS: STLD) is one of the biggest domestic steel producers and metals recyclers in the United States. With facilities throughout the United States and in Mexico, the company produces a wide variety of steel products, such as hot roll, cold roll, and coated sheet steel, structural steel beams and shapes, rail, engineered special-bar-quality steel, cold finished steel, merchant bar products, specialty steel sections and steel joists. Plus, Steel Dynamics produces liquid pig iron and processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap.

Steel Dynamics announced on May 14 that company founder Mark D. Millett, its president and chief executive officer, added the role of chairman of the board on that date. The chairmanship opened when Keith E. Busse, a company founder, stepped down from that post but stayed on as a director.

BoA gave a $68 share price objective to Steel Dynamics, based on valuation modeling and assumptions. Uncertainty about achieving the price target comes from steel and scrap price volatility, possible project delays, the course of the economic recovery and potential excess supply, the investment firm noted.

The stock price of Steel Dynamics has jumped 143.9% in the past 52 weeks and 75.6% in 2021, as of June 1. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio of 17.0 is less than half the S&P 500 Index’s 36.5.

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Ternium’s Upward Trend Takes It Among 5 Metals Stocks to Buy

Another fast-rising steel stock has been Luxembourg-based Ternium (NYSE:TX). Its share price has leaped 150.5% in the past 52 weeks and 37.0% in 2021, as of June 1. In addition, the company’s price-to-earnings ratio of 5.2 is at a huge discount compared to the S&P 500 Index’s 36.5.

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Ternium manufactures and processes a wide range of steel products using advanced technology. With 17 production centers in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, United States, Guatemala and Mexico, the company manufactures high-complexity steel products that supply the main industries and markets in the region.

Ternium describes itself as Latin America’s top flat steel producer, providing high-value-added steel products for customers in the automotive, home appliances, HVAC, construction, capital goods, container, food and energy industries. After reaching record earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in the first quarter of 2021, the guidance offered by Ternium management called for producing a sequentially higher EBITDA in the second quarter largely driven by rising realized steel prices, offset partially by higher cost per ton due to increased iron ore, scrap and slab costs affecting the company’s inventories.

5 Metals Stocks to Buy Sidestep Worst of COVID-19 Crisis

Progress in the COVID-19 vaccination process gives renewed hope that new cases and deaths could fall further in the weeks and ahead. Part of the optimism stems from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) recently approving a third COVID-19 vaccine, manufactured by Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), which requires just one dose rather than two, as the first two market entrants do.

COVID-19 cases worldwide have reached 171,046,311 and caused 3,557,281 deaths, as of June 1, according to Johns Hopkins University. Also as of June 1, U.S. COVID-19 cases totaled 33,287,124 and have resulted in 595,211 deaths. America has the dreaded distinction as the country with the most COVID-19 cases and deaths.

The five metals stocks to buy offer an inflation hedge to investors, amid a $1.9 trillion federal stimulus package, increased COVID-19 vaccine availability and an improving economy. Those factors and others are fueling the five metals stocks to buy.

Paul Dykewicz, www.pauldykewicz.com, is an accomplished, award-winning journalist who has written for Dow Jones, the Wall Street JournalInvestor’s Business DailyUSA Today, the Journal of Commerce, Seeking Alpha, GuruFocus and other publications and websites. Paul, who can be followed on Twitter @PaulDykewicz, is the editor of StockInvestor.com and DividendInvestor.com, a writer for both websites and a columnist. He further is editorial director of Eagle Financial Publications in Washington, D.C., where he edits monthly investment newsletters, time-sensitive trading alerts, free e-letters and other investment reports. Paul previously served as business editor of Baltimore’s Daily Record newspaper. Paul also is the author of an inspirational book, “Holy Smokes! Golden Guidance from Notre Dame’s Championship Chaplain,” with a foreword by former national championship-winning football coach Lou Holtz. The book is great as a gift and is endorsed by Joe Montana, Joe Theismann, Ara Parseghian, “Rocket” Ismail, Reggie Brooks, Dick Vitale and many others. Call 202-677-4457 for special Father’s Day gift pricing!

 

The post 5 Metals Stocks to Buy to Buffer Inflation During an Economic Bounce appeared first on Stock Investor.

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COVID-19 may never go away, but practical herd immunity is within reach

It is unlikely that we will reach full herd immunity for COVID-19. However, we are likely to reach a practical kind of herd immunity through vaccination.

The level of immunity needed — either through vaccination or infection — for practical herd immunity is uncertain, but may be quite high. (Shutterstock)

When people say that we won’t reach “herd immunity” to COVID-19, they are usually referring to an ideal of “full” population immunity: when so many people are immune that, most of the time, there is no community transmission.

With full herd immunity, most people will never be exposed to the virus. Even those who are not vaccinated are protected, because an introduction is so unlikely to reach them: it will sputter out, because so many others are immune — as is the case now with diseases like polio and mumps.

The fraction of the population that needs to be immune in order for the population to have “full” herd immunity depends on the transmissibility of the virus in the population, and on the control measures in place.

It is unlikely we’ll reach full herd immunity for COVID-19.

For one thing, it appears that immunity to COVID-19 acquired either by vaccination or infection wanes over time. In addition, SARS-CoV-2 will continue to evolve. Over time, variants that can infect people with immunity (even if this only results in mild disease) will have a selective advantage, just as until now selection has mainly favoured variants with higher transmission potential.

Electron micrograph of a yellow virus particle with green spikes, against a blue background.
The B.1.1.7 variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Over time, variants of concern will likely continue to emerge. NIAID, CC BY

Also, our population is a composition of different communities, workplaces and environments. In some of these, transmission risk might be high enough and/or immunity low enough to allow larger outbreaks to occur, even if overall in the population we have high vaccination and low transmission.

Finally, SARS-CoV-2 can infect other animals. This means that other animal populations may act as a “reservoir,” allowing the virus to be reintroduced to the human population.

Practical herd immunity

Nonetheless, we are likely to reach a practical kind of herd immunity through vaccination. In practical herd immunity, we can reopen to near-normal levels of activity without needing widespread distancing or lockdowns. This would be a profound change from the situation we have been in for the past 18 months.

Practical herd immunity does not mean that we never see any COVID-19. It will likely be with us, just at low enough levels that we will not need to have widespread distancing measures in place to protect the health-care system.


Read more: COVID-19 variants FAQ: How did the U.K., South Africa and Brazil variants emerge? Are they more contagious? How does a virus mutate? Could there be a super-variant that evades vaccines?


What level of immunity (either through vaccination or infection) we need for practical herd immunity is uncertain, but it may be quite high. The original strain of SARS-CoV-2 was highly transmissible and transmission is thought to be higher still for some variants of concern.

Empty vials of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine
To achieve two-thirds immunity, 90 per cent of the eligible population would need to be vaccinated or infected naturally. (AP Photo/John Locher)

The amount of immunity we need will also depend on what level of controls we are willing to maintain indefinitely. Continued masking, contact tracing, symptomatic and asymptomatic testing and outbreak control measures will mean we will require less immunity than we would without these in place.

Some estimates suggest that we may need two thirds of the population to be protected either by successful vaccination or natural infection. If 90 per cent of the population is eligible for vaccination, and vaccines are 85 per cent effective against infection, we can obtain this two thirds with about 90 per cent of the eligible population being vaccinated or infected naturally.

The United Kingdom has already exceeded these rates in some age groups. Higher rates are even better, because there is still uncertainty about the level of transmissibility and vaccine efficacy against infection (although research shows they are very good against severe disease). We don’t want to discover that we do not have enough immunity through vaccination and have another serious wave of infection.

Emerging variants

A sticker reading 'I'm COVID-19 vaccinated' from Vancouver Coastal Health
Booster vaccinations will hopefully allow us to maintain long-term practical herd immunity against future variants of COVID-19. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

Higher vaccine uptake will mean there are fewer infections before we reach practical herd immunity. The remaining unvaccinated individuals will be safer, protected indirectly by the immunity of those around them. Outbreaks will be smaller and rarer, and there will be fewer opportunities for vaccine escape variants to arise and spread.

That said, variants of SARS-CoV-2 will continue to emerge, and selection will favour variants that escape our immunity. Vaccine developers will continue to broaden the spectrum of the vaccines that are available, and boosters will hopefully allow us to maintain long-term practical herd immunity.

It’s possible that an immune escape variant will emerge that is severe enough, and transmissible enough, that it will cause a new pandemic for which we do not have even practical herd immunity. But barring that, while we may not be free of COVID-19, we can be confident that in the not-too-distant future it will be manageable when we return to near-normal life.

Caroline Colijn's research group receives funding from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Genome British Columbia, the Michael Smith Foundation for Health Research, the Public Health Agency of Canada and Canada 150 Research Chair program of the Federal Government of Canada.

Paul Tupper's research group receives funding from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.

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Citadel Settles Suit Alleging Former Senior Trader Shared Its Algorithmic “Secret Sauce”

Citadel Settles Suit Alleging Former Senior Trader Shared Its Algorithmic "Secret Sauce"

Citadel has reached a settlement with the British hedge fund it accused of trying to plunder one of its senior traders in an effort to get to its algorit

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Citadel Settles Suit Alleging Former Senior Trader Shared Its Algorithmic "Secret Sauce"

Citadel has reached a settlement with the British hedge fund it accused of trying to plunder one of its senior traders in an effort to get to its algorithmic "secret sauce".

GSA Capital Partners LLC and Citadel announced the settlement late last week after Citadel accused the fund of obtaining "closely guarded" trading strategies when it hired the employee in question, Vedat Cologlu, according to Bloomberg. 

GSA said of the settlement that the two firms “recognize and respect the importance and value of the other’s rights over their confidential information and intellectual property.”

We first documented that Citadel was suing British hedge fund GSA Capital in January of 2020, after GSA attempted to hire Cologlu, allegedly in hopes of accessing the quant secrets at the core of Citadel's "ABC" automated trading strategy. 

Recall, we wrote back in November of 2020 that Citadel was seeking around $40 million over claims that GSA was able to obtain information on the strategy via texts and WhatsApp.

Citadel argued late last year that GSA "can't unsee" and can't forget the information that was taken from Citadel's secret algorithm. Citadel is also moving to try and block GSA from using their trading model. GSA has argued that they found no "secret sauce" from a high-level description of the structure of a trading algorithm. 

David Craig, a lawyer for Citadel Securities, said in late 2020: “GSA’s most senior managers now know where and how Citadel makes hundreds of millions of dollars in annual revenues. They cannot forget that information, or put it out of their minds.”

He noted that only 15 of Citadel's 3,000 employees ever had access to the "strategic logic" of the strategy. One of those employees was Cologlu, a 2007 Wharton grad and self-described "stat arb trader", who helped operate and administer the models whose "returns were notably high given the low level of risk it took on."

Citadel has claimed its "ABC" quant strategy cost more than $100 million to develop. In its lawsuit, Citadel alleged that the UK fund wanted Cologlu to hand over confidential information about the strategy:

GSA asked for sensitive information on his equity-trading including his profits and the speed of the trades. And then Cologlu handed over a plan that Citadel argues was based on its own confidential model, including the way the algorithm made predictions.

And there's good reason for the information to be coveted. Citadel Securities has been wildly profitable: the company posted a record $6.7 billion in revenue in 2020. This was almost double the previous high in 2018. The blockbuster result came after some of its traders moved from Chicago and New York to set up shop in a Palm Beach hotel in late March 2020 as the pandemic upended lives and markets across the globe. The results of the privately-held company were released in presentation to investors as part of a $2.5 billion loan Citadel Securities was seeking.

The Citadel securities trading arm started as a high-frequency market-maker in options before pushing into equities. Today, the firm dominates that realm and has had a very close relationship with the likes of the millennials' favorite trading platform, Robinhood. We documented back in September 2020 that Citadel now controls 41% of all retail trading. 

GSA was spun out of Deutsche Bank AG in 2005 and manages around $7.5 billion. Citadel’s legal filing names GSA founder and majority owner Jonathan Hiscox as a defendant, alongside other officials including the chief technology officer.

Back in January 2020, we noted the full details of Citadel's lawsuit. 

Tyler Durden Sat, 06/12/2021 - 14:00

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UK Government Adviser Says Mask Mandates Should Continue “Forever”

UK Government Adviser Says Mask Mandates Should Continue "Forever"

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News,

A UK government adviser and former Communist Party member Susan Michie says that mask mandates and social distancing should…

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UK Government Adviser Says Mask Mandates Should Continue "Forever"

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News,

A UK government adviser and former Communist Party member Susan Michie says that mask mandates and social distancing should continue “forever” and that people should adopt such behaviour just as they did with wearing seatbelts.

Michie, who is a Professor of Health Psychology at UCL and a leading member of SAGE, said such control measures should become part of people’s “normal” routine behaviour.

"Vaccines are a really important part of pandemic control but it is only one part. [A] test, trace and isolate system, [as well as] border controls, are really essential. And the third thing is people’s behaviour. That is, the behaviour of social distancing, of… making sure there’s good ventilation [when you’re indoors], or if there’s not, wearing face masks, and [keeping up] hand and surface hygiene."

"We will need to keep these going in the long term, and that will be good not only for Covid but also to reduce other [diseases] at a time when the NHS is [struggling]… I think forever, to some extent…"

"I think there’s lots of different behaviours that we have changed in our lives. We now routinely wear seatbelts – we didn’t use to. We now routinely pick up dog poo in the parks – we didn’t use to. When people see that there is a threat and there is something they can do to reduce that [to protect] themselves, their loved ones and their communities, what we have seen over this last year is that people do that."

Michie’s comments once again emphasize how many scientific advisers have become drunk on COVID-19 power and never want to relinquish it.

“Unsurprisingly, Channel 5 News made absolutely no effort to scrutinise these claims. The programme’s presenter raised no objection to the idea that mask-wearing and social distancing could continue “forever”, resorting only to friendly laughter,” writes Michael Curzon.

“Professor Michie’s co-panellist, a fellow scientist at UCL, Dr Shikta Das, said:

“I think Susan has made a very good point here,” adding that the vaccine roll-out has created a “false sense of security”.

She concluded:

“I don’t think we are yet ready to unlock.”

How’s all that for balance!

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Michie is known to be a long-time Communist hardliner and was so zealous in her beliefs she garnered the nickname “Stalin’s nanny.”

Her sentiment echoes that of fellow government adviser Professor Neil Ferguson, who once acknowledged that he was surprised authorities were able to “get away with” the same draconian measures that Communist China imposed at the start of the pandemic.

“[China] is a communist one-party state, we said. We couldn’t get away with [lockdown] in Europe, we thought… and then Italy did it. And we realised we could,” said Ferguson.

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Tyler Durden Sat, 06/12/2021 - 11:30

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