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3 Spinoff Stocks Ready to Soar on Their Own

3 Spinoff Stocks Ready to Soar on Their Own

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Wall Street loves mergers and acquisitions. They feed the egos of CEOs by increasing their empires and garner big fees for the bankers that help put big deals together. They can also result in a big payday for investor of the firm that gets bought out. But, sadly, for these reasons, most mergers destroy shareholder value over the long haul.

For investors, the track record indicates that it can be more lucrative to bet on deals where firms break themselves apart. One such deal that became final less than two weeks ago found two giant defense and aerospace-focused firms merge, but also spin out two global titans into their own separate entities.

I just picked on mergers for being bad for shareholders, but last June’s merger between United Technologies and Raytheon was very unique in that it was a “merger of equals.” That means there wasn’t a large premium built into the deal to entice one set of shareholders to sell out. This sizeable premium is a key reason that mergers are bad over the long term.

The newly formed Raytheon Technologies creates one of the largest aerospace and defense firms in the world. And part of the deal called for two of United Tech’s divisions – Otis Elevator and Carrier Inc, to be spun out to their own independence. Independence can really motivate management teams and employees, which can be great for business, and shareholders

One other benefit of spinoffs is it can take investors and analysts awhile to get comfortable with the newly formed entities. It also takes a while for the financials to be released and understood. Therefore, those that study them carefully can gain an information advantage. On a related note, investors that see these new positions in their portfolio tend to sell them off because they aren’t that familiar and the position sizes can be pretty small. This puts near-term selling pressure on the shares.

Using TipRanks database, I was able to evaluate these 3 Buy-rated stocks to get a good feel for what the analyst community has to say as these firms get going on their own. Apparently, all three have appealing long-term upside potential. Let's take a closer look.

Raytheon Technologies Corp (RTX)

The newly formed Raytheon is the crown jewel of this transaction. Raytheon and United Tech didn’t have a ton of overlapping businesses and therefore didn’t have a lot of regulatory obstacles to overcome in merging. Its four units consist of Pratt & Whitney military and civil aircraft divisions, Collins aerospace systems and components, intelligence and airborne systems, and defense and missile systems.

Breadth and scale are important when negotiating with national governments (the U.S. and its allies) and giant airlines. And while commercial airline demand is going to dip in the current recession, it will recover. Raytheon Tech is in a strong position because 54% of its business now comes from defense, which isn’t nearly as economically sensitive. And 45% of sales come from overseas, which provides diversification in any market environment and is important now that the U.S. has the highest number of covid-19 cases in the world.

Bank of America's Ronald Epstein really likes Raytheon’s “steady defense cash” that will protect the aerospace business until it recovers, and expects $1 billion in cost synergies from the combination.

Epstein estimates $64.5 billion in sales this year and a substantial 12.5% jump to $72.6 billion in 2021. He sees another 11% increase to as much as $81 billion the following year. He estimates around $4 in EPS this year and next, with a boost to $5 in 2021. Better yet, “management projects double-digit cash flow growth…by 2021). Safety, cash flow, and growth are compelling characteristics for investors in any business cycle.

Epstein reiterated a Buy rating on Raytheon shares along with $95 price target. That is a very healthy premium of 47% above the current share price of $64.22. (To watch Epstein's track record, click here)

We can see from TipRanks that Raytheon has regained its “Strong Buy” rating. In the last three months, the stock has received 11 "buy" ratings and only 3 "hold" ratings. Based on these ratings, the average $92 price target on RTX stock translates into upside of over 40% from the current share price. (See Raytheon stock analysis on TipRanks)

Otis Worldwide Corp (OTIS)

Otis Worldwide is one of the largest elevator firms in the world. Construction trends might slow for the foreseeable future, but elevators must always be maintained and kept safely running regardless of the economy.

Service is one of the key appeals of Otis as an investment. JPMorgan recently detailed that 57% of Otis’ sales (the rest are new equipment) stem from services, which tend to be stable along with higher margins. 82% of the service business stems from routine maintenance and repair, while the rest is from modernization.

16% of Otis sales come from China, which is already getting back to business as its coronavirus containment efforts appear to be working. The U.S. is only 27% of sales – the rest comes from the rest of the world. Like Raytheon, Otis is diversified across the world and among many customers.

JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa cited these strengths as a reason for his overweight rating and $53 price target. (To watch Tusa's track record, click here)

One other reason spinoffs tend to do well over time is that the parent company may have neglected its smaller units. This appears to have happened at Otis – Tusa cited a compression in Otis’ profit margins over the past few years. This is reflected in the fact that rivals, including Kone and Schindler are more profitable. They are also trading at higher P/E multiples, which Otis management hopes to remedy.

Tusa concluded, "We are OW on Otis Worldwide Corp, as we see a strong franchise in a fundamentally attractive global elevator industry, poised to move beyond a decade-long margin reversion, for which earnings should hold up relatively well vs others through the downturn. Coming out the other side, we see potential for tailwinds around (1) China modernization, (2) a turn in the tide on investment/price/mix (3) with opportunities around tax rate and de-leveraging to set the company up well to accelerate its EPS/FCF growth."

Overall, there is little action on the Street heading Otis' way right now, with only one other analyst chiming in with a view on the elevator maker's prospects. An additional Buy rating means Oti qualifies as a Moderate Buy. The average price target, though, is $53, and implies an upside potential of nearly 18%. (See Otis stock analysis on TipRanks)

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)

United Tech’s last spinoff is Carrier Global Corp. Carrier has the highest risk/return of the bunch. It has some leading businesses, including air conditioning, HVAC and related products, refrigeration and shipping storage and transportation, fire, safety and security products, and building controls and automation. Its HVAC products are among the largest operators in both residential and commercial divisions.

The tradeoff is that these units are economically sensitive. Carrier was also saddled with a somewhat sizable debt position when United Tech spun it out. And, just like Otis, its margins have fallen as United Tech focused on its larger and more lucrative aerospace units.

These characteristics aren’t ideal, but is a key reason that Wolfe Research has initiated an outperform rating on Carrier shares with a $26 price target. That’s nearly double the current share price just below $14 per share. Lead analyst Nigel Coe advises investors to “keep calm and Carrier on” when it comes to the stock.

Coe sees risks in the current downturn in the HVAC and fire units. But these should be manageable, and the fire unit could be earmarked for sale, which would reduce the current debt load of about $11 billion by as much as $3 billion. Margins should improve with management’s renewed focus. But "these are quality franchises with scope for operational improvement. We see potential for significant appreciation, once the market is ready to accept more risk, with limited downside.”

What do other analysts say about the HVAC maker? TipRanks analytics shows out of 4 analysts, 1 is bullish on Carrier Global stock, while 3 are sidelined. That said, the consensus price target of $20.50 shows a potential upside of nearly 47%. (See Carrier Global stock analysis on TipRanks)

Disclosure: The author has a Long position in RTX, OTIS, CARR

To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

The post 3 Spinoff Stocks Ready to Soar on Their Own appeared first on TipRanks Financial Blog.

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Key shipping company files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

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The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Key shipping company files Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

Published

on

The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Tight inventory and frustrated buyers challenge agents in Virginia

With inventory a little more than half of what it was pre-pandemic, agents are struggling to find homes for clients in Virginia.

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No matter where you are in the state, real estate agents in Virginia are facing low inventory conditions that are creating frustrating scenarios for their buyers.

“I think people are getting used to the interest rates where they are now, but there is just a huge lack of inventory,” said Chelsea Newcomb, a RE/MAX Realty Specialists agent based in Charlottesville. “I have buyers that are looking, but to find a house that you love enough to pay a high price for — and to be at over a 6.5% interest rate — it’s just a little bit harder to find something.”

Newcomb said that interest rates and higher prices, which have risen by more than $100,000 since March 2020, according to data from Altos Research, have caused her clients to be pickier when selecting a home.

“When rates and prices were lower, people were more willing to compromise,” Newcomb said.

Out in Wise, Virginia, near the westernmost tip of the state, RE/MAX Cavaliers agent Brett Tiller and his clients are also struggling to find suitable properties.

“The thing that really stands out, especially compared to two years ago, is the lack of quality listings,” Tiller said. “The slightly more upscale single-family listings for move-up buyers with children looking for their forever home just aren’t coming on the market right now, and demand is still very high.”

Statewide, Virginia had a 90-day average of 8,068 active single-family listings as of March 8, 2024, down from 14,471 single-family listings in early March 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Altos Research. That represents a decrease of 44%.

Virginia-Inventory-Line-Chart-Virginia-90-day-Single-Family

In Newcomb’s base metro area of Charlottesville, there were an average of only 277 active single-family listings during the same recent 90-day period, compared to 892 at the onset of the pandemic. In Wise County, there were only 56 listings.

Due to the demand from move-up buyers in Tiller’s area, the average days on market for homes with a median price of roughly $190,000 was just 17 days as of early March 2024.

“For the right home, which is rare to find right now, we are still seeing multiple offers,” Tiller said. “The demand is the same right now as it was during the heart of the pandemic.”

According to Tiller, the tight inventory has caused homebuyers to spend up to six months searching for their new property, roughly double the time it took prior to the pandemic.

For Matt Salway in the Virginia Beach metro area, the tight inventory conditions are creating a rather hot market.

“Depending on where you are in the area, your listing could have 15 offers in two days,” the agent for Iron Valley Real Estate Hampton Roads | Virginia Beach said. “It has been crazy competition for most of Virginia Beach, and Norfolk is pretty hot too, especially for anything under $400,000.”

According to Altos Research, the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News housing market had a seven-day average Market Action Index score of 52.44 as of March 14, making it the seventh hottest housing market in the country. Altos considers any Market Action Index score above 30 to be indicative of a seller’s market.

Virginia-Beach-Metro-Area-Market-Action-Index-Line-Chart-Virginia-Beach-Norfolk-Newport-News-VA-NC-90-day-Single-Family

Further up the coastline on the vacation destination of Chincoteague Island, Long & Foster agent Meghan O. Clarkson is also seeing a decent amount of competition despite higher prices and interest rates.

“People are taking their time to actually come see things now instead of buying site unseen, and occasionally we see some seller concessions, but the traffic and the demand is still there; you might just work a little longer with people because we don’t have anything for sale,” Clarkson said.

“I’m busy and constantly have appointments, but the underlying frenzy from the height of the pandemic has gone away, but I think it is because we have just gotten used to it.”

While much of the demand that Clarkson’s market faces is for vacation homes and from retirees looking for a scenic spot to retire, a large portion of the demand in Salway’s market comes from military personnel and civilians working under government contracts.

“We have over a dozen military bases here, plus a bunch of shipyards, so the closer you get to all of those bases, the easier it is to sell a home and the faster the sale happens,” Salway said.

Due to this, Salway said that existing-home inventory typically does not come on the market unless an employment contract ends or the owner is reassigned to a different base, which is currently contributing to the tight inventory situation in his market.

Things are a bit different for Tiller and Newcomb, who are seeing a decent number of buyers from other, more expensive parts of the state.

“One of the crazy things about Louisa and Goochland, which are kind of like suburbs on the western side of Richmond, is that they are growing like crazy,” Newcomb said. “A lot of people are coming in from Northern Virginia because they can work remotely now.”

With a Market Action Index score of 50, it is easy to see why people are leaving the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria market for the Charlottesville market, which has an index score of 41.

In addition, the 90-day average median list price in Charlottesville is $585,000 compared to $729,900 in the D.C. area, which Newcomb said is also luring many Virginia homebuyers to move further south.

Median-Price-D.C.-vs.-Charlottesville-Line-Chart-90-day-Single-Family

“They are very accustomed to higher prices, so they are super impressed with the prices we offer here in the central Virginia area,” Newcomb said.

For local buyers, Newcomb said this means they are frequently being outbid or outpriced.

“A couple who is local to the area and has been here their whole life, they are just now starting to get their mind wrapped around the fact that you can’t get a house for $200,000 anymore,” Newcomb said.

As the year heads closer to spring, triggering the start of the prime homebuying season, agents in Virginia feel optimistic about the market.

“We are seeing seasonal trends like we did up through 2019,” Clarkson said. “The market kind of soft launched around President’s Day and it is still building, but I expect it to pick right back up and be in full swing by Easter like it always used to.”

But while they are confident in demand, questions still remain about whether there will be enough inventory to support even more homebuyers entering the market.

“I have a lot of buyers starting to come off the sidelines, but in my office, I also have a lot of people who are going to list their house in the next two to three weeks now that the weather is starting to break,” Newcomb said. “I think we are going to have a good spring and summer.”

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