Will a 40-year low in unemployment help the Liberals win re-election?

May 14 14:05 2019 Print This Article

Elections

Labour

Politics in Canada

The economic news last week was welcome. Canada has hit a 40-year low in unemployment, according to a Statistics Canada report released May 10.

The Liberal Party -- trailing the Conservative opposition by a big six-point margin in opinion polling -- wants to make some political gains from the strong job creation numbers: over 100,000 new jobs in April.

Expect to hear a lot about how the Liberal government has managed the economy so as to benefit Canadians, from now until the October 21 federal election.

Political science research suggests that governments can lose elections when unemployment numbers go up sharply while they hold power.

Unfortunately for Justin Trudeau, it has not been shown that governments win because unemployment is low.

Focusing on job creation does make political sense for all political parties because economic security is a major voter preoccupation.

Read More

About Article Author

Rabble

rabble.ca was built on the efforts of progressive journalists, writers, artists and activists across the country. They draw on the real energy and power of the Internet -- passionate, engaged human beings. Blurring the line between readers and contributors, they provide a needed space for issues, a place to explore political passions and an opportunity to expand ideas. They get 450,000 visitors monthly, andare growing. rabble.ca features some of the best new and emerging progressive voices in Canada.

Related Items

Bad battery, good synapse from Stanford University

A May 4, 2019 news item on ScienceDaily announces the latest advance made by Stanford University and Sandia National Laboratories in the field of neuromorphic (brainlike) computing, The brain’s capacity for simultaneously learning and memorizing large amounts of information while requiring littl ...

Did HOOPP Exploit the Danish Tax System?

Zach Dubinsky of CBC News reports that Ontario health-care workers' pension has up to $430M at stake in Danish tax dispute:One of Canada's largest pension funds has been hauled into court in Denmark in a dispute about whether it improperly claimed hundreds of millions of dollars in tax rebates on D ...

Fossil Fuel Ad Campaigns Emphasize 'Positives' After Climate Science Denial PR Lands Industry in Hot Seat

Read time: 7 mins This story is part of Covering Climate Now, a global collaboration of more than 250 news outlets to strengthen coverage of the climate story.   Public relations experts keep a careful eye on the multitude of ways that PR can go wrong: tracking the year’s biggest “PR blunde ...

The liars ask for our trust - Loonie Politics

  It is not unexpected to have a certain amount of bending the truth at election time, and that there would be a certain amount of spin and torque when it comes to framing one’s opponents.  I can’t recall, however, a time when complete and blatant fictions were being trotted out as serious fo ...

Trudeau government posts $14 billion deficit in 2018-19

The Trudeau government posted a $14 billion deficit in the 2018-19 fiscal year, Finance Canada’s annual report on the federal government’s finances shows. The figure is in the same ballpark of the projected deficit figure in the 2019 federal budget, which was $14.9 billion. In the 2015 federal ...

Alleslev in statistical tie with Liberal rival in GTA riding: Mainstreet poll

Conservative Leona Alleslev faces a tough re-election battle in the Greater Toronto Area riding of Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill, with a new Mainstreet Research poll for iPolitics finding a narrow lead against her Liberal rival is within the margin of error. The telephone survey of 554 adults ...

Trudeau matches marquee Scheer pledge, promises no tax on parental EI benefits

Justin Trudeau is matching one of Andrew Scheer’s marquee platform pledges, announcing on Tuesday that his government, too, would make maternity and parental benefits tax-free — taking the extra step of saying a Liberal government would make those benefits tax-exempt “at source.” “You’l ...

Morning Brief: Trudeau says Liberal gun policies coming soon

Today’s morning brief is brought to you by ASDE Survey Sampler.  Trusted for 25 years by survey professionals and researchers. Click here for more Good morning, readers. CBC News reports that Canada’s intelligence services are monitoring the threat of agents of the Chinese and Indian governm ...

Markets Calm(er)

Overview: Oil prices have stabilized after yesterday's surge.  Both Brent and WTI are holding on to around $7-$8 a barrel gain. Equity markets are mixed.  Some are attributing the losses in Asia Pacific outside of Japan (Nikkei rose its highest level since late April), Korea and Australia to ...

Microsoft’s Exchange Server 2010 has its end of support pushed back by nine months

Microsoft Corp. is pushing back its January 14, 2020 end of support date for Exchange Server 2010 by nine months. In a blog post published this morning, Greg Taylor, Microsoft’s director of product marketing for Exchange, noted the date was changed after “investigating and analyzing the deploym ...

Next36 startup Correly acquired by Ottawa-based GenM

Toronto-based startup Correly, which provides a platform that streamlines product demos, has been acquired by Ottawa-based GenM. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. Correly’s platform allows companies to browse and click with customers on the same screen, and calculate how engaged customers wer ...