Will a 40-year low in unemployment help the Liberals win re-election?

May 14 14:05 2019 Print This Article

Elections

Labour

Politics in Canada

The economic news last week was welcome. Canada has hit a 40-year low in unemployment, according to a Statistics Canada report released May 10.

The Liberal Party -- trailing the Conservative opposition by a big six-point margin in opinion polling -- wants to make some political gains from the strong job creation numbers: over 100,000 new jobs in April.

Expect to hear a lot about how the Liberal government has managed the economy so as to benefit Canadians, from now until the October 21 federal election.

Political science research suggests that governments can lose elections when unemployment numbers go up sharply while they hold power.

Unfortunately for Justin Trudeau, it has not been shown that governments win because unemployment is low.

Focusing on job creation does make political sense for all political parties because economic security is a major voter preoccupation.

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rabble.ca was built on the efforts of progressive journalists, writers, artists and activists across the country. They draw on the real energy and power of the Internet -- passionate, engaged human beings. Blurring the line between readers and contributors, they provide a needed space for issues, a place to explore political passions and an opportunity to expand ideas. They get 450,000 visitors monthly, andare growing. rabble.ca features some of the best new and emerging progressive voices in Canada.

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