Insight: Libya’s oil production faces political litmus test

Oct 12 06:10 2018 Print This Article

Predicting what Libyan crude production will be in a few months’ time can be even trickier than forecasting the oil price itself. And the risks it faces could multiply as the country – which holds the largest oil and gas reserves in Africa – moves towards critical elections in December.

Libya’s recent rise in production has confounded even the most pessimistic of analysts. In mid-September, Libyan oil production surged to more than five-year highs of 1.28 million b/d, according to Mustafa Sanalla, chairman of the state-owned National Oil Corporation.

 

Most independent observers would see that as on the high side, but estimates show production late summer reached just above the 1 million b/d mark. Libya’s oil output hit 1.05 million b/d in September, its highest level since June 2013, according to the latest S&P Global Platts OPEC production survey.

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The Barrel

S&P Global Platts provides market insights so people can make more informed trading and business decisions.. They're the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodities and energy markets. Customers in over 150 countries look to their expertise in news, pricing and analytics to deliver greater transparency and efficiency to markets. S&P Global Platts coverage includes oil and gas, power, petrochemicals, metals, agriculture and shipping. S&P Global Platts provides critical information for the commodities & energy markets to make physical commodity markets more transparent and efficient. S&P Global Platts blog, The Barrel, provides the essential perspective on global commodities.

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